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Return to Virginia Business - June 2004

Virginia Ideas

The budget deal didn’t solve Virginia’s real problems

Related link:
- The case for chartered universities and colleges

by W. Rodger Provo
For Virginia Business
June 2004

The recently concluded budget fight in the General Assembly on how to provide state and local government services was a small step towards addressing Virginia’s complex problems. But Virginia’s 7.4 million residents need business, government and other leaders to continue demanding more reform in state government, or we will find life in our state less attractive and business harder to conduct.

Virginia will continue growing in population and in the number of jobs. By 2025, the state is expected to have another 2 million residents. Many of those people will live in the sprawling suburbs of the state’s urban regions, which will drive up pressure on the state’s road network. Because of this growth pattern, state planners predict a 68 percent increase in the number of vehicle miles traveled by 2025.

With Virginia’s unemployment rate among the lowest in the country, we need new residents to meet our expanding demand for workers. Our state’s per capita income, ranked 14th in the nation as of the 2000 census, will also attract newcomers.

Virginia government, however, is not equipped to meet the needs of a growing state in the 21st century. Our governor needs to be able to serve two terms, and the office powers should be restructured to share power with the General Assembly to facilitate this change. The state’s problems are too complex and large to be addressed by a one-term governor.

In addition, some of the state’s budget problems have their roots in our unmanaged growth. We need to expand the planning function at the state level, as envisioned during former Gov. Mills Godwin’s first term, and create a statewide growth management plan. The projected growth needs to be channeled into the rebuilding of our cities, as Norfolk has done, and our older suburbs, as has been done in Arlington County.

Some of the country’s fastest-growing counties are in the outlying suburbs in Northern Virginia in Loudoun and Stafford. The demand for new schools and other public services there is relentless. Even the new budget and tax package will not provide enough revenue to help those communities meet their needs.

And, we need to rethink transportation. State officials estimate that since 1990 we have increased our spending on road construction and maintenance by 42 percent or a whopping $1.6 billion in 2003, excluding city and county road payments. All of this money, though, has not produced relief from the gridlock or reversed the decline in our air quality. We have the third-largest state-maintained highway system in the country, behind Texas and North Carolina.

The state needs to move away from building just new roads. Container traffic out of Hampton Roads needs to be moved to rail lines and rail lines could get trucks off of crowded interstates. By 2025 freight movement into and out of Hampton Roads alone is expected to double.

Virginia needs to invest in upgrading our relationship with AMTRAK to provide some of the needed additional passenger service in the state. Light rail systems are needed in Northern Virginia, Hampton Roads and the Richmond area. Metro needs to be expanded further into portions of Northern Virginia, such as the line to the Dulles International Airport. We never will be able to build enough lane miles to service the needs of the 1 million residents of Fairfax County and such business centers as Tysons Corner, which has more than 30 million square feet of commercial development.

Trolley systems need to be considered for Charlottesville, Richmond and the Roanoke Valley. Portland, Ore., has a new trolley system, and it has helped spark the revival of an old warehouse district known as The Pearl District. It has wonderful galleries, parks and restaurants. Portland’s light rail system also links to a new Reston-like surburban community, Orenco Village, giving residents there quick access to downtown without having to drive. Virginia could use trolley systems and light rail lines to redirect development patterns and encourage people to live in areas that are not car-dependent. This approach has worked in Arlington County along its Metrorail corridor.

High on the reform list should be a law requiring state and local governments to produce a strategic plan relative to government services.  We need an annual report by the state about the status of public services in our state.

We have a great deal of work ahead of us. The challenges will not be less, but more.

W. Rodger Provo is a Fredericksburg-based commercial real estate broker, who served as an assistant to former Gov. A. Linwood Holton from 1969 until 1971.


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