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Return to Virginia Business - May 2003

Advertising section

Virginia insurance brokers see landscape changing since 9/11
Related story: List of Virginia insurance brokers

Although the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, occurred more than a year and a half ago, the aftershock is still reverberating through the commercial insurance industry. As we reported in our December 2002 issue, the overall market is rapidly changing as insurers consolidate to limit their exposure and the re-insurance market contracts as companies merge or go out of business altogether. We talked with several commercial insurance brokers from different regions of Virginia and asked them to comment on the state of the market since 9/11. Here are their responses:

What is the single biggest change you have seen in the market since 9/11?

Walter Smith
VP, Area Manager
BB&T - DeJarnette & Paul, Richmond

The biggest change I have seen is the “hardening” of the re-insurance market, which has directly affected capacity and pricing. That is to say, the re-insurers were already tightening their terms with primary carriers prior to 9/11 because of several consecutive years of poor underwriting results, but when that event took place, there was an immediate and much more severe contraction in their terms with primary carriers. In the past 20 months re-insurers have further restricted the lines of coverage they will support. And the support they do provide comes at a drastically increased price, often many times higher than premiums prior to 9/11. The bottom line — much higher prices for the end-user as the primary carriers have to pass the bulk of this cost through to the consumer, be it for individual or business coverage.

John Love
Principal
AH&T Technology Brokers, Leesburg

The size of the financial loss (insured losses) of 9/11, was so significant that it reduced the capital surplus of the U.S. insurance industry by approximately 10 percent in a day. This, coupled with the other capital losses insurers are reporting on their investment portfolio, sparked an immediate tightening of underwriting standards, terms and conditions. For the most part, front-line underwriters have attempted to be fair and reasonable with their renewal quotes for their insured clients, but their authority has been restricted and more decisions are made at the home office level as far as minimum price increases, and restricted/prohibited classes of business.

Jim Kitchin
President
Hilb, Rogal and Hamilton Company of Virginia, Inc., Glen Allen

Sept. 11, which was horrific in and of itself, really put a public point on what had been happening in the industry for some time. 9/11 cost the industry about $40 billion. The equity markets have lost ground for three years. Liability loss costs are up 4% to 5% over previous levels. Additions to insurance company reserves for long-term losses such as asbestos, medical malpractice and now mold reached $9 billion in 2002 and will probably climb in 2003. Despite dramatic additions in new capital, surplus continues to drop. And the Enron/WorldCom situations have made corporate governance the watchword of today.

Dorothy Dembowski
Vice President
Marsh USA, Norfolk

Since Sept. 11, 2001, the largest change in the insurance marketplace has been the shrinkage of capacity coupled with the return of intense underwriting of business. Immediately after 9/11, almost all of the major insurance and re-insurance companies put a hold on writing new business while they worked to quantify the size of their respective losses stemming from the occurrences of 9/11.

Once released from their “hold,” insurance companies began scrutinizing new and renewal submissions demanding detailed comprehensive information on portfolio holdings, even the aggregation of workers in each location. This was borne out of the change in everyone’s perception about what a Probable or Possible Maximum Loss (PML) might be at a corporate headquarters, an office building, or collection of office buildings. Prior to 9/11/01, the PML on the World Trade Center was seven floors of destruction, not seven buildings.

Joel Nichols
Senior Executive Vice President
Scott Insurance, Roanoke

Sept. 11 produced an overall lack of competition among the remaining insurance companies. With carriers getting large rate increases to fill their coffers, they don’t need to chase new business. It’s expensive and time consuming for them when they can get 25% to 100% increases from their current client base. I also see a number of previously top-rated carriers in trouble. They’re going out of business and being bought up by competitors, which creates less competition due to the lack of players

R.C. Moore III
Owner
Tabb Brockenbrough & Ragland LLC, Richmond

Clearly, the most significant changes for the industry have been the return to traditional risks selection and a pricing structure to assure individual account profitability. This process was largely ignored for the last 10 years while carriers sought out greater revenue share to invest in an overheated investment market.

Today, this is causing market disruption both in availability and pricing. Medical malpractice in the professional liability sector is showing strains from much more stringent underwriting and carrier withdrawal based on an unprofitable outlook. Directors and Officers coverage is impacted by both high-profile corruption and fraud cases as well as corporate governing regulations that will focus on corporate boardrooms.

Thomas R. Brown
President
The Rutherfoord Cos., Richmond

The insurance market was hardening prior to 9-11 but obviously the events that day exacerbated the conditions. Insurance has always been a cyclical business with traditional 3 to 4 year cycles. The last soft market started turning in 1988 and continued to soften until late 1999 or early 2000. Obviously this was a much longer cycle than normal with the extended price erosion finally catching up to the insurers. In addition to the competitive market, insurers were confronted with continuing asbestos claims which further eroded their performance.

Do you see any positive trends in the commercial
insurance marketplace?

Jim Kitchin: Despite the “gloom” of recent market conditions, the insurance industry is very vibrant and viable and the discipline imposed on operations will bode extremely well for the future. A return to underwriting profits will foster carrier stability and a renewed effort toward loss and risk control both of which will help abate the steep climb in premiums and lack of capacity.

John Love: This is my 14th year in the insurance business, which is
over 300 years old so I am only seeing a small slice of the historic trend. However, I felt that underwriting was getting sloppy in the 1997-2000 timeframe and insured clients were not being forced to adhere to better loss-control protocols. Since insurance is a risk transfer business, there is value in the underwriters essentially requiring customers to be cautious. More attention to safety and security in developing your product or service ultimately leads to more profitable business operations. Now, with the hard market, underwriters are in essence forcing businesses to improve their risk control efforts and I think that is a healthy influence overall.

Walter Smith: Yes, there are positive signs as the insurance market seems to be stabilizing from a pricing standpoint, and we are seeing signs that some lines of coverage are even beginning to become competitive again. There are factors that will probably prevent a free fall in insurance prices to late 1990s levels — the lagging performance of the stock market, the demand by re-insurers to continue their profitability trend, the fact that specific lines of coverage, i.e., workers compensation, professional coverages (Directors & Officers liability and malpractice insurance) continue to be unprofitable, and finally several large insurance carriers are still haunted by the past (i.e. asbestos Liability settlements). However, in my estimation, we’ve probably reached the top of the market’s rise and with a few exceptions, consumers will likely see little or no rate increase the remainder of this year.

Dorothy Dembowski: Underwriting an organization’s true exposures is a trend that I view as extremely positive for both sides. Risk management planning and programs have returned to many industries where standards have declined over the past 15 years due to the costs associated with their implementation and support. Risk management controls protect the organization, its operations, its reputation and its people. Organizational risk is no longer simply hazard risk but also operational, financial and strategic. By underwriting an organization’s operations, those with strong risk management tools in place will be rewarded at renewal time.

Joel Nichols: Insurance companies will have to learn to make a profit from good underwriting practices and not just investment returns. The majority of insurance companies plan to lose money on their client bases, and make a profit through large investment returns. Those days are gone and the underwriters will be stronger for it in the long run. Clients are also putting more emphasis on safety/loss control and claim management.

Bad times have a way of getting rid of marginal players — and I mean the insurance companies. Those companies left will be strong and smart. The good risks (clients) will get the good rates, and the bad ones will pay for their sins when insurance companies underwrite properly.

Are you optimistic or pessimistic for the rest of 2003?

R.C. Moore III: There is a positive note for commercial insurance buyers. Virginia is viewed as a good place to do business from an insurance standpoint. The varied economic base, available labor force, and growth potential contribute to a sound business environment. All these factors encourage carriers to write coverage in Virginia. If we continue to attract insurance providers to the state, it will help in availability and favorable pricing for Virginia businesses.

Jim Kitchin: For Virginia in particular, I am very optimistic. Virginia is traditionally pro-business and has a very conservative judicial climate which makes it a growth state for most insurance carriers. In contrast to recent years, our carrier planning meetings have centered more around growth and less on the need for rate and withdrawal from unprofitable lines. This bodes well for our clients and our sales organization.

Walter Smith: From a regional standpoint, I am optimistic as Virginia has traditionally been one of the most competitive states in the U.S. from an insurance cost standpoint, and that continues to be the trend. That is to say, Virginia is seen by most insurance carriers as a "growth" state because of the strength and diversity of our economic climate, our relatively low exposure to catastrophic loss (weather, earthquake, etc.) and our traditionally pro business legal climate. So, even though insurance costs have risen statewide in almost all lines of coverage over the past 24-36 months, we are still far below the national average in terms of our "cost of risk" in Virginia and that is a positive trend that will almost assuredly continue.

Joel Nichols: From the perspective of our firm, I'm an optimist. The flight to quality has allowed us to gain new clients who want effective safety, claim management and risk management services. From a general standpoint, I'm similarly optimistic, but less so. Once we get the Iraqi war behind us things should improve rapidly.

John Love: We specialize in three industries in the mid-Atlantic: high tech, non-profits, and construction. Although each of those industry segments have their own problems from the overall economic slump our region is faring better than other parts of the country and the vast majority of our clients are stable and beginning to show the first signs of growth - so we are optimistic. Due to the quality of our agency's personnel and the relationships we maintain with clients, AH&T actually had its best year ever in 2002. The tighter economy brought out the best performance in our associates.

Thomas Brown: I worry about the financial health of some of the carriers and the impact of the asbestos litigation, but all in all I am optimistic we have seen the worst and things will get better.

 

 

Return to Virginia Business - May 2003


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